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Red113
34032.7
525448.2
159124.6
Blue100
63935.3
27126.1
301537.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8992406080100120140160113100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.21.4
44.245.7
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End6.7
red by 10.8
37.40.8
34.735.4
Auto9.6
Teleop22.4
End5.3
Second
340
#23Sur
32.71.4
26.828.2
Auto7.0
Teleop21.1
End4.6
blue by 2.7
639
#11Sur
35.30.8
27.628.5
Auto9.8
Teleop16.8
End8.8
Third
1591
#29
24.62.4
15.517.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.0
End5.0
blue by 1.5
271
#26
26.11.3
26.427.6
Auto6.6
Teleop14.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsEarned