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Red80
25028.8
158520.6
57832.0
Blue82
263833.3
304438.2
524033.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7791501001508082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
578
#16
32.00.2
29.629.8
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End4.6
blue by 6.3
3044
#15
38.20.3
35.034.7
Auto10.8
Teleop20.9
End6.5
Second
250
#35
28.80.2
27.327.5
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End6.0
blue by 4.6
33.40.3
28.428.1
Auto7.5
Teleop19.7
End6.1
Third
1585
#45
20.60.3
20.120.5
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End3.8
blue by 12.7
33.30.5
22.822.3
Auto7.7
Teleop21.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed