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Red67
155931.6
315720.2
145026.0
Blue95
2038.1
112630.3
34032.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7294204060801201406795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#25
31.60.4
32.031.6
Auto7.0
Teleop18.9
End5.7
blue by 6.5
20
#6
38.10.1
31.031.1
Auto10.4
Teleop22.5
End5.2
Second
1450
#17
26.00.4
23.222.8
Auto8.2
Teleop14.2
End3.7
blue by 6.6
340
#23
32.70.1
28.228.4
Auto7.0
Teleop21.1
End4.6
Third
3157
#33
20.20.7
18.117.4
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End4.1
blue by 10.1
1126
#14
30.30.1
28.829.0
Auto8.1
Teleop16.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned