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Qual 292016 Finger Lakes Regional
Red71
25028.8
140532.5
176516.1
Blue22
543319.5
7313.9
151825.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6954204060801007122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#31
32.50.7
24.5→25.2
Auto6.5
Teleop16.8
End9.2
red by 7.0
1518
#42
25.43.6
22.0→18.4
Auto7.6
Teleop9.8
End8.0
Second
250
#35
28.80.4
27.5→27.9
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End6.0
red by 9.3
5433
#44
19.53.6
17.7→14.1
Auto2.1
Teleop12.2
End5.2
Third
1765
#48
16.10.7
12.8→13.5
Auto1.7
Teleop12.3
End2.1
red by 2.2
73
#49
13.93.6
14.8→11.2
Auto0.3
Teleop10.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsMissed40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed