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Qual 372016 Finger Lakes Regional
Red19
279137.6
304438.2
559016.5
Blue82
188023.4
222827.5
383820.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97632040801201401601982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#15
38.24.7
36.0→31.3
Auto10.8
Teleop20.9
End6.5
red by 10.8
2228
#20
27.50.7
25.5→26.2
Auto6.7
Teleop16.3
End4.4
Second
2791
#9
37.64.7
36.0→31.4
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.6
red by 14.2
1880
#38
23.40.7
19.1→19.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.9
End5.7
Third
5590
#46
16.57.8
16.8→9.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End3.4
blue by 4.3
3838
#47
20.81.2
21.4→22.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsMissed28%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed