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Red111
300333.8
263833.3
379925.3
Blue108
238334.5
155129.1
559016.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88660204080100120140111108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#28
33.81.9
32.334.2
Auto7.6
Teleop21.4
End4.8
blue by 0.7
2383
#39
34.52.4
32.534.8
Auto10.2
Teleop17.8
End6.4
Second
33.33.2
29.032.3
Auto7.7
Teleop21.0
End4.6
red by 4.2
1551
#43
29.12.4
24.727.1
Auto6.4
Teleop15.0
End7.7
Third
3799
#18
25.33.2
20.824.0
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End3.9
red by 8.8
5590
#46
16.53.9
10.514.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed