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Qual 62016 Finger Lakes Regional
Red68
188023.4
145026.0
112630.3
Blue66
402318.0
383820.8
395126.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67540204060801001201406866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1126
#14
30.30.4
28.5→28.9
Auto8.1
Teleop16.7
End5.5
red by 3.8
3951
#21
26.50.8
18.6→19.4
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End4.3
Second
1450
#17
26.00.4
18.0→18.3
Auto8.2
Teleop14.2
End3.7
red by 5.2
3838
#47
20.80.8
20.1→20.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.7
End3.3
Third
1880
#38
23.40.5
16.3→16.8
Auto3.8
Teleop13.9
End5.7
red by 5.4
4023
#41
18.00.8
15.5→16.2
Auto3.0
Teleop11.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed