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Red70
383820.8
17425.0
151825.4
Blue85
263833.3
39526.3
317329.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions579302040801201401607085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1518
#42
25.41.0
21.622.5
Auto7.6
Teleop9.8
End8.0
blue by 7.9
33.30.0
32.332.2
Auto7.7
Teleop21.0
End4.6
Second
174
#40
25.01.0
22.523.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End7.2
blue by 4.2
3173
#27
29.20.0
28.828.8
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End4.4
Third
3838
#47
20.81.0
16.817.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.7
End3.3
blue by 5.5
395
#30
26.30.0
24.224.2
Auto9.3
Teleop13.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed