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Red100
19131.8
525448.2
493031.0
Blue82
112630.3
543319.5
140532.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123675010015010082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.20.7
48.748.0
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End6.7
red by 15.7
1405
#31
32.50.9
25.926.7
Auto6.5
Teleop16.8
End9.2
Second
191
#19
31.81.1
31.930.8
Auto8.1
Teleop18.4
End5.3
red by 1.5
1126
#14
30.30.6
29.329.9
Auto8.1
Teleop16.7
End5.5
Third
31.00.7
30.229.5
Auto9.6
Teleop14.3
End7.1
red by 11.6
5433
#44
19.50.9
18.419.3
Auto2.1
Teleop12.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed