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Red99
503026.9
524033.4
318122.1
Blue89
37828.2
34032.7
315720.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81780501001502002509989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.41.1
30.932.0
Auto7.5
Teleop19.7
End6.1
red by 0.7
340
#23
32.70.5
30.531.0
Auto7.0
Teleop21.1
End4.6
Second
5030
#24
26.91.1
26.127.2
Auto8.3
Teleop17.1
End1.6
blue by 1.3
378
#37
28.20.5
27.528.0
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End3.7
Third
3181
#34
22.11.1
21.122.1
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.6
red by 1.9
3157
#33
20.20.7
18.319.1
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed