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Red75
37828.2
176516.1
222827.5
Blue83
158520.6
19131.8
63935.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667040506080901007583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
#37
28.20.0
23.723.7
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End3.7
blue by 7.1
639
#11
35.31.2
26.427.6
Auto9.8
Teleop16.8
End8.8
Second
2228
#20
27.50.0
24.424.5
Auto6.7
Teleop16.3
End4.4
blue by 4.3
191
#19
31.81.7
23.024.7
Auto8.1
Teleop18.4
End5.3
Third
1765
#48
16.10.0
16.516.6
Auto1.7
Teleop12.3
End2.1
blue by 4.5
1585
#45
20.61.7
18.420.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsMissed70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed