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Semifinal 1-12016 Finger Lakes Regional
Red156
279137.6
525448.2
238334.5
Blue165
63935.3
2038.1
140532.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153132100200250156165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#1
48.20.4
49.1→48.7
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End6.7
red by 10.0
20
#6
38.10.3
36.8→37.1
Auto10.4
Teleop22.5
End5.2
Second
2791
#9
37.60.4
38.5→38.2
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.6
red by 2.3
639
#11
35.30.3
34.0→34.3
Auto9.8
Teleop16.8
End8.8
Third
2383
#39
34.50.4
35.4→35.0
Auto10.2
Teleop17.8
End6.4
red by 2.0
1405
#31
32.50.4
30.9→31.2
Auto6.5
Teleop16.8
End9.2