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Semifinal 1-22016 Finger Lakes Regional
Red128
279137.6
525448.2
238334.5
Blue159
63935.3
2038.1
140532.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152134100200250128159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#1
48.20.5
48.7→48.2
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End6.7
red by 10.0
20
#6
38.10.3
37.1→37.4
Auto10.4
Teleop22.5
End5.2
Second
2791
#9
37.60.5
38.2→37.6
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.6
red by 2.3
639
#11
35.30.3
34.3→34.6
Auto9.8
Teleop16.8
End8.8
Third
2383
#39
34.50.5
35.0→34.5
Auto10.2
Teleop17.8
End6.4
red by 2.0
1405
#31
32.50.3
31.2→31.5
Auto6.5
Teleop16.8
End9.2