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Red161
403940.9
301533.7
317329.2
Blue135
63939.8
540647.7
29124.3
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127148050100200250300161135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#10
40.90.0
40.940.9
Auto16.8
Teleop19.9
End4.2
blue by 6.8
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
Second
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto9.7
Teleop19.9
End4.1
blue by 6.1
639
#4
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End10.4
Third
3173
#16
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End4.4
red by 4.9
291
#18
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.3