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Red76
29124.3
37828.2
395126.5
Blue82
19134.7
112630.6
158520.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80900501502002503003507682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
#14
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End3.7
blue by 6.5
191
#3
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto10.0
Teleop19.4
End5.3
Second
3951
#21
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End4.3
blue by 4.1
1126
#15
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Third
291
#18
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.3
red by 3.7
1585
#22
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds12%Capture odds