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Red75
155129.1
503033.3
999915.6
Blue81
19134.7
317329.2
493033.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761050501502002507581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.30.0
33.333.3
Auto8.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
blue by 1.4
191
#3
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto10.0
Teleop19.4
End5.3
Second
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto6.4
Teleop15.0
End7.7
blue by 4.7
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End8.4
Third
9999
#31
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 13.6
3173
#16
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds9%Capture odds