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Red85
112630.6
649015.6
57832.0
Blue82
383820.8
133422.3
403940.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798802003004005006007008582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
578
#13
32.00.0
32.032.0
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End4.6
blue by 8.9
4039
#10
40.90.0
40.940.9
Auto16.8
Teleop19.9
End4.2
Second
1126
#15
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
red by 8.3
1334
#34
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto4.6
Teleop15.2
End2.5
Third
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 5.2
3838
#27
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds77%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds2%Capture odds