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Red68
2036.9
37828.2
140530.4
Blue63
304441.2
234025.2
403940.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961130501502002503003506863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#20
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End4.6
blue by 4.3
3044
#28
41.20.0
41.241.2
Auto9.6
Teleop24.8
End6.8
Second
1405
#24
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End5.1
blue by 10.5
4039
#10
40.90.0
40.940.9
Auto16.8
Teleop19.9
End4.2
Third
378
#14
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End3.7
red by 3.0
2340
#17
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto9.2
Teleop10.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds14%Capture odds