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Red64
300333.8
133422.3
525450.1
Blue110
136028.5
383820.8
301533.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1148005010015020025064110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.0
50.150.1
Auto10.3
Teleop32.0
End7.9
red by 16.4
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto9.7
Teleop19.9
End4.1
Second
3003
#30
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto7.6
Teleop21.4
End4.8
red by 5.3
1360
#19
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End5.1
Third
1334
#34
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto4.6
Teleop15.2
End2.5
red by 1.5
3838
#27
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds86%Breach odds
Capture
10%Capture odds7%Capture odds