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Red76
318122.1
222827.5
155933.9
Blue86
503033.3
649015.6
493033.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8685607080901001107686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#25
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto6.9
Teleop21.6
End5.4
red by 0.1
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End8.4
Second
2228
#23
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto6.7
Teleop16.3
End4.4
blue by 5.9
33.30.0
33.333.3
Auto8.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
Third
3181
#26
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.6
red by 6.4
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds2%Capture odds