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Red107
301533.7
300333.8
493033.8
Blue72
234025.2
37828.2
112630.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1088305015020010772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End8.4
red by 3.2
1126
#15
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Second
3003
#30
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto7.6
Teleop21.4
End4.8
red by 5.6
378
#14
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End3.7
Third
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto9.7
Teleop19.9
End4.1
red by 8.5
2340
#17
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto9.2
Teleop10.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
18%Capture odds9%Capture odds