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Red38
383820.8
649015.6
34032.7
Blue54
493033.8
29124.3
2036.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661030501502002503003854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#32
32.70.0
32.732.7
Auto7.0
Teleop21.1
End4.6
blue by 4.3
20
#20
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End4.6
Second
3838
#27
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.7
End3.3
blue by 13.0
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End8.4
Third
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 8.7
291
#18
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds6%Capture odds