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Red137
403940.9
301533.7
136028.5
Blue85
112630.6
493033.8
155933.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341305010015020013785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#10
40.90.0
40.940.9
Auto16.8
Teleop19.9
End4.2
red by 7.0
1559
#25
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto6.9
Teleop21.6
End5.4
Second
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto9.7
Teleop19.9
End4.1
blue by 0.1
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End8.4
Third
1360
#19
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End5.1
blue by 2.1
1126
#15
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9