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Red106
279131.9
523631.5
362422.1
Blue151
33331.3
25026.3
14525.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107926080100120140160106151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2791
#10
31.90.0
31.531.6
Auto7.5
Teleop19.6
End4.8
red by 0.6
333
#16
31.30.9
30.631.5
Auto10.3
Teleop17.2
End3.8
Second
31.50.0
31.131.2
Auto5.7
Teleop21.6
End4.3
red by 5.2
250
#9
26.30.9
25.626.5
Auto9.0
Teleop11.5
End5.8
Third
3624
#27
22.10.0
21.621.7
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End3.5
blue by 3.5
145
#24
25.60.9
24.925.8
Auto6.4
Teleop15.1
End4.1