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Red34
450821.9
51499.4
25026.3
Blue44
596418.7
524028.7
166521.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574601001502002503444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
#9
26.32.2
23.421.2
Auto9.0
Teleop11.5
End5.8
blue by 2.4
28.70.2
17.116.8
Auto9.0
Teleop14.3
End5.3
Second
4508
#28
21.92.2
19.717.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End2.9
blue by 0.1
1665
#18
21.90.2
16.616.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.6
Third
5149
#36
9.42.2
10.48.3
Auto1.8
Teleop8.1
End-0.5
blue by 9.3
5964
#23
18.70.2
12.412.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsMissed31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed