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Red85
4836.8
304431.8
485619.8
Blue15
448124.7
35820.2
362422.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76600501001502008515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#8
36.81.2
34.135.3
Auto11.4
Teleop21.5
End4.0
red by 12.1
4481
#30
24.74.4
18.814.4
Auto5.4
Teleop15.4
End3.9
Second
3044
#13
31.81.5
21.623.1
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End4.1
red by 9.7
3624
#27DQ
22.15.0
21.316.2
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End3.5
Third
4856
#31DQ
19.81.5
15.917.4
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End3.5
blue by 0.4
358
#11
20.25.0
20.315.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed