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Red26
35820.2
523631.5
52726.1
Blue47
524028.7
493024.8
587913.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675801001502002647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.54.2
23.819.6
Auto5.7
Teleop21.6
End4.3
red by 2.9
28.71.2
16.815.6
Auto9.0
Teleop14.3
End5.3
Second
527
#14
26.14.2
20.516.3
Auto9.1
Teleop13.3
End3.7
red by 1.3
4930
#12
24.81.2
27.926.6
Auto10.0
Teleop12.2
End2.7
Third
358
#11
20.24.2
19.315.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End4.9
red by 6.7
5879
#32
13.51.2
13.212.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed