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Red99
22921.7
33331.3
588122.7
Blue115
166521.9
35953.7
399041.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67972040608012014099115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#16
31.32.0
23.325.2
Auto10.3
Teleop17.2
End3.8
blue by 22.4
359
#1
53.71.7
50.151.8
Auto14.4
Teleop32.0
End7.3
Second
5881
#26
22.73.3
23.226.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End4.9
blue by 18.9
41.62.8
28.130.9
Auto9.6
Teleop22.2
End9.9
Third
229
#20
21.73.3
23.026.3
Auto2.2
Teleop15.1
End4.5
blue by 0.2
1665
#18
21.92.8
11.914.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned