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Red29
51499.4
362422.1
14525.6
Blue84
525443.1
35820.2
145018.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51690204060801001202984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145
#24
25.62.6
27.124.5
Auto6.4
Teleop15.1
End4.1
blue by 17.5
43.11.6
31.332.9
Auto11.4
Teleop26.1
End5.6
Second
3624
#27
22.12.6
15.613.0
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End3.5
red by 1.9
358
#11
20.21.6
15.116.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End4.9
Third
5149
#36
9.42.6
9.57.0
Auto1.8
Teleop8.1
End-0.5
blue by 8.6
1450
#33
18.01.6
17.819.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed