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Red54
304431.8
155123.8
450821.9
Blue93
523631.5
66324.0
279131.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627002040801001205493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#13
31.80.9
25.024.1
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End4.1
blue by 0.1
2791
#10
31.92.4
28.731.1
Auto7.5
Teleop19.6
End4.8
Second
1551
#17
23.80.9
18.517.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End5.9
blue by 7.7
31.52.4
19.622.0
Auto5.7
Teleop21.6
End4.3
Third
4508
#28
21.90.9
18.217.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End2.9
blue by 2.1
663
#19
24.02.4
18.320.6
Auto3.1
Teleop17.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsMissed60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned