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Red107
304431.8
524028.7
25026.3
Blue74
341939.8
35820.2
588122.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5886204010012014010774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#13
31.85.2
24.129.3
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End4.1
blue by 8.0
39.80.7
35.835.1
Auto11.9
Teleop22.9
End5.0
Second
28.75.2
16.221.3
Auto9.0
Teleop14.3
End5.3
red by 6.0
5881
#26
22.71.1
26.525.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End4.9
Third
250
#9
26.35.2
20.225.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.5
End5.8
red by 6.1
358
#11
20.21.1
16.815.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed