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Red82
525443.1
587913.5
420311.6
Blue77
588122.7
594313.7
304431.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586902040801001201401608277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.12.6
34.236.8
Auto11.4
Teleop26.1
End5.6
red by 11.3
3044
#13
31.81.3
29.330.6
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End4.1
Second
5879
#32
13.52.6
13.316.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End2.7
blue by 9.2
5881
#26
22.71.3
25.326.6
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End4.9
Third
4203
#35
11.62.6
10.913.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.3
End-0.3
blue by 2.1
5943
#34
13.71.3
10.712.0
Auto2.0
Teleop10.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed