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Red69
279131.9
594313.7
35820.2
Blue52
558516.7
588122.7
409321.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66632040801001206952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2791
#10
31.90.5
34.334.8
Auto7.5
Teleop19.6
End4.8
red by 9.3
5881
#26
22.71.4
26.425.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End4.9
Second
358
#11
20.20.5
18.719.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End4.9
blue by 1.3
4093
#21
21.51.4
18.917.6
Auto11.6
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Third
5943
#34
13.70.5
10.711.2
Auto2.0
Teleop10.6
End1.1
blue by 3.0
5585
#29
16.71.4
15.914.6
Auto6.1
Teleop10.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed