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Red110
399041.6
485619.8
341939.8
Blue50
145018.0
588122.7
37111.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10750015011050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.8
39.640.5
Auto9.6
Teleop22.2
End9.9
red by 18.9
5881
#26
22.70.6
23.923.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End4.9
Second
39.80.7
38.238.8
Auto11.9
Teleop22.9
End5.0
red by 21.9
1450
#33
18.00.6
18.517.9
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End2.4
Third
4856
#31
19.80.8
17.218.0
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End3.5
red by 8.8
371
#25
11.00.6
14.413.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed