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Red30
420311.6
37111.0
4836.8
Blue94
450821.9
409321.5
341939.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6787204060801001201403094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#8
36.82.5
39.737.1
Auto11.4
Teleop21.5
End4.0
blue by 3.0
39.80.5
38.839.3
Auto11.9
Teleop22.9
End5.0
Second
4203
#35
11.62.8
14.411.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.3
End-0.3
blue by 10.2
4508
#28
21.90.6
21.522.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End2.9
Third
371
#25
11.02.8
13.811.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End3.1
blue by 10.5
4093
#21
21.50.6
20.921.5
Auto11.6
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed