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Red149
2030.6
525443.1
166521.9
Blue106
279131.9
523631.5
362422.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117106406080140160180149106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.1
42.242.3
Auto11.4
Teleop26.1
End5.6
red by 11.2
2791
#10
31.90.1
32.432.3
Auto7.5
Teleop19.6
End4.8
Second
20
#7
30.60.1
29.629.8
Auto9.1
Teleop17.7
End3.7
blue by 1.0
31.50.1
32.031.9
Auto5.7
Teleop21.6
End4.3
Third
1665
#18
21.90.1
21.021.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.6
blue by 0.1
3624
#27
22.10.1
22.622.4
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End3.5