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Red177
19573.4
279137.6
646315.6
Blue95
450825.7
22933.2
346134.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16510705020025030035040017795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#7
73.40.0
73.473.4
Auto21.0
Teleop42.4
End10.0
red by 39.2
3461
#21
34.10.0
34.134.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
Second
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.6
red by 4.5
229
#11
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto8.8
Teleop18.7
End5.6
Third
6463
#16
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 10.0
4508
#23
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End4.0