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Red70
14525.6
588122.7
25028.8
Blue89
1493B13.1
188023.4
26330.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93850501507089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
#20
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End6.0
blue by 1.9
263
#17
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto11.1
Teleop14.2
End5.4
Second
145
#14
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto6.4
Teleop15.1
End4.1
red by 2.2
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.9
End5.7
Third
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End4.9
red by 9.5
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End2.7