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Red32
646315.6
648415.6
14525.6
Blue63
588122.7
596418.7
1493B13.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595602040801001201403263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145
#14
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto6.4
Teleop15.1
End4.1
red by 2.9
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End4.9
Second
6463
#16
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 3.0
5964
#19
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End1.9
Third
6484
#22
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
red by 2.5
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach odds49%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds1%Capture odds