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Red52
648415.6
26330.7
450825.7
Blue142
112446.9
14525.6
188023.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69104020030040052142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#17
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto11.1
Teleop14.2
End5.4
blue by 16.2
46.90.0
46.946.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
Second
4508
#23
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End4.0
red by 0.1
145
#14
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto6.4
Teleop15.1
End4.1
Third
6484
#22
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 7.8
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach odds48%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds3%Capture odds