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Red54
509929.7
1493B13.1
188023.4
Blue47
22933.2
304441.2
450825.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6111001502002503003504005447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5099
#10
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End8.4
blue by 11.5
3044
#24
41.20.0
41.241.2
Auto9.6
Teleop24.8
End6.8
Second
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.9
End5.7
blue by 9.8
229
#11
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto8.8
Teleop18.7
End5.6
Third
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End2.7
blue by 12.5
4508
#23
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds6%Capture odds