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Red74
346134.1
14525.6
525450.1
Blue94
630015.6
279137.6
646315.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1226201001502002503003504007494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.0
50.150.1
Auto10.3
Teleop32.0
End7.9
red by 12.5
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.6
Second
3461
#21
34.10.0
34.134.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
red by 18.5
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Third
145
#14
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto6.4
Teleop15.1
End4.1
red by 10.0
6463
#16
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds64%Breach odds
Capture
16%Capture odds1%Capture odds