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Red155
414533.1
402844.6
332428.2
Blue123
86847.0
24536.3
425629.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127146100200155123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.60.0
44.844.7
Auto9.4
Teleop28.7
End6.5
blue by 2.4
868
#16
47.00.2
47.246.9
Auto12.7
Teleop28.7
End5.7
Second
4145
#11
33.10.0
33.333.2
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End5.0
blue by 3.2
245
#2
36.30.2
36.536.3
Auto9.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
Third
3324
#33
28.20.0
28.328.3
Auto8.5
Teleop16.6
End3.1
blue by 0.8
4256
#21
29.00.2
29.229.0
Auto8.0
Teleop16.9
End4.1