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Quarterfinal 2-32016 Queen City Regional
Red151
414533.1
402844.6
332428.2
Blue135
12039.2
326039.0
408533.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128137050100200250300151135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#5
44.60.0
44.5→44.5
Auto9.4
Teleop28.7
End6.5
red by 5.4
120
#13
39.20.1
39.2→39.2
Auto9.9
Teleop24.7
End4.6
Second
4145
#11
33.10.0
33.0→33.0
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End5.0
blue by 5.9
3260
#6
39.00.1
38.9→39.0
Auto8.8
Teleop24.2
End6.0
Third
3324
#33
28.20.0
28.1→28.1
Auto8.5
Teleop16.6
End3.1
blue by 5.6
4085
#14
33.80.1
33.7→33.8
Auto9.0
Teleop16.4
End8.4