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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Queen City Regional
Red169
86847.0
24536.3
425629.0
Blue104
313832.9
103831.3
198532.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14811450100200250169104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#16
47.00.1
47.247.4
Auto12.7
Teleop28.7
End5.7
red by 14.1
3138
#36
32.90.3
33.232.9
Auto7.7
Teleop20.4
End4.7
Second
245
#2
36.30.1
36.636.7
Auto9.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
red by 3.9
1985
#26
32.40.3
32.732.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End6.7
Third
4256
#21
29.00.1
29.329.4
Auto8.0
Teleop16.9
End4.1
blue by 2.3
1038
#10
31.30.3
31.631.3
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End5.8