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Red72
414533.1
301033.6
381424.0
Blue120
408533.8
541342.5
326039.0
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57113020408010014016072120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3010
#37
33.60.9
19.520.4
Auto9.5
Teleop16.4
End7.8
blue by 8.9
42.51.6
40.842.4
Auto9.8
Teleop22.5
End10.2
Second
4145
#11
33.10.7
23.624.4
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End5.0
blue by 5.9
39.01.5
31.132.6
Auto8.8
Teleop24.2
End6.0
Third
3814
#43
24.00.7
20.721.4
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End6.1
blue by 9.8
4085
#14
33.81.6
29.731.3
Auto9.0
Teleop16.4
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned