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Red61
428418.8
452122.0
421332.6
Blue75
239932.4
198532.4
574924.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65872040801001201406175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.4
32.131.7
Auto9.7
Teleop18.0
End4.9
red by 0.2
1985
#26
32.40.4
30.630.1
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End6.7
Second
4521
#32
22.00.4
16.816.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End2.0
blue by 10.4
32.40.5
30.329.8
Auto7.1
Teleop19.6
End5.7
Third
4284
#49
18.80.4
18.017.5
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End2.5
blue by 5.7
5749
#29
24.50.7
20.519.8
Auto9.3
Teleop12.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed