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Red116
382117.5
541342.5
101432.4
Blue67
428418.8
411524.4
4840.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87672040608010012014011667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.9
42.243.2
Auto9.8
Teleop22.5
End10.2
red by 1.9
48
#1
40.60.1
37.537.4
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End3.8
Second
32.40.9
29.029.9
Auto8.7
Teleop19.9
End3.8
red by 8.0
4115
#40
24.40.2
13.513.3
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End5.1
Third
3821
#53
17.51.6
10.612.2
Auto5.2
Teleop10.3
End2.1
blue by 1.3
4284
#49
18.80.1
17.517.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed