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Red117
402844.6
574924.5
201632.7
Blue101
12039.2
14429.2
326039.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851094060100120140160180117101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.61.9
40.242.1
Auto9.4
Teleop28.7
End6.5
red by 5.4
120
#13
39.20.1
39.539.4
Auto9.9
Teleop24.7
End4.6
Second
2016
#23
32.71.7
26.227.9
Auto9.5
Teleop17.8
End5.4
blue by 6.3
39.00.1
34.934.8
Auto8.8
Teleop24.2
End6.0
Third
5749
#29
24.52.9
19.822.7
Auto9.3
Teleop12.1
End3.1
blue by 4.8
144
#54
29.20.1
28.228.1
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed