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Red55
301033.6
428418.8
260322.5
Blue102
549229.0
350432.2
348432.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688320406010012014016055102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3010
#37
33.61.5
28.527.0
Auto9.5
Teleop16.4
End7.8
red by 1.4
3504
#12
32.21.6
28.429.9
Auto8.9
Teleop17.1
End6.2
Second
2603
#15
22.50.9
22.421.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.1
blue by 9.6
3484
#22
32.22.6
26.929.5
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End7.7
Third
4284
#49
18.80.9
17.416.5
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End2.5
blue by 10.2
5492
#18
29.01.6
23.124.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed